Third time's a charm? The Rams-Seahawks bets that have hit twice and will hit again

The third meeting between the Seattle Seahawks and Los Angeles Rams feels less like a rematch and more like a final exam. These teams split the regular-season series, and the margins were microscopic. Across two games, only one point separated them on the scoreboard (58-57) and only one yard separated them in total offense (830-829). That’s not rivalry noise. That’s two teams that are almost perfectly matched when they share the field.

Sunday gives us a true heavyweight clash when they meet for a third time with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line. The Rams bring the NFL’s No. 1 scoring offense (30.5 PPG), and Seattle was the league’s No. 1 scoring defense (17.2 PPG) in the regular season. We’ve seen both sides in the previous two matchups, with the Rams winning the first matchup in Week 11, 21-19, and the Seahawks taking a 38-37 overtime thriller in Week 16.

Even the betting results reflect this balance. In Week 11, the Rams (+3.5) covered in a low-scoring grinder. In Week 16, the Seahawks (+1.5) covered in a shootout.

That’s why this shapes up as one of the most intriguing games to bet on all season. When teams know each other this well, volume and tendencies tend to repeat, and several markets have already cashed in both meetings.

Note: Odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and subject to change.

Bets that have hit in both games

Here are some props at their current lines that cashed in both meetings between these teams, making them worth highlighting before building a card for Round 3 between the Seahawks and Rams.

• Matthew Stafford OVER 1.5 passing touchdowns (-129)

• Matthew Stafford UNDER 0.5 intereceptions (-109)

• Kyren Williams OVER 72.5 rushing + receiving yards (-113)

• Kyren Williams longest reception UNDER 8.5 yards (-105)

• Kyren Williams OVER 54.5 rushing yards (-110)

• Blake Corum OVER 7.5 rushing attempts (-110)

• Blake Corum longest rush UNDER 9.5 yards (-110)

• Colby Parkinson UNDER 2.5 receptions (+107)

• Colby Parkinson UNDER 25.5 receiving yards (-114)

• Sam Darnold OVER 5.5 rushing yards (-105)

• Sam Darnold OVER 30.5 pass attempts (-101)

• Sam Darnold OVER 19.5 pass completions (-128)

• Sam Darnold OVER 234.5 passing yards (-113)

• Sam Darnold OVER 0.5 interceptions (-148)

• Kenneth Walker III OVER 112.5 rushing + receiving yards (-115)

• Kenneth Walker III OVER 22.5 receiving yards (-112)

• Kenneth Walker III UNDER 19.5 rushing attempts (-105)

• Kenneth Walker III OVER 2.5 receptions (-179)

• Kenneth Walker III longest rush OVER 16.5 yards (-115)

• Jaxon Smith-Njigba OVER 6.5 receptions (-116)

• Jaxon Smith-Njigba OVER 91.5 receiving yards (-112)

• Jaxon Smith-Njigba longest reception UNDER 28.5 yards (-120)

• Cooper Kupp OVER 2.5 receptions (-149)

• AJ Barner OVER 3.5 receptions (+131)

• AJ Barner OVER 29.5 receiving yards (-110)

Not all of these will be playable again, but the fact that they’ve hit twice tells you something about how these games tend to unfold, with heavy passing volume, strong involvement from primary pass-catchers and running backs, and a game script that keeps both quarterbacks active.

My favorite bets for Sunday (from props that hit twice)

Matthew Stafford OVER 1.5 passing touchdowns (-129)

Stafford has been the engine of the Rams’ offense all season. Los Angeles finished the regular season ranked fifth in pass attempts per game, and Stafford has logged at least 42 attempts in each playoff game. He has been especially dangerous in the red zone and has surpassed this line in 84% of his 19 games this season.

Kenneth Walker III OVER 112.5 rushing + receiving yards (-115)

The spread suggests a competitive game, which bodes well for Walker since he’ll have the Seahawks backfield to himself now that Zach Charbonnet is out for the remainder of the season with a torn ACL. Walker cleared this line in both games against the Rams this season and remains one of the most explosive backs in the league, running behind a Seahawks offensive line that finished the regular season ranked eighth in run block win rate. He’s also an impending free agent, and this is an opportunity to showcase his talents on one of the biggest stages of the season. Walker to have either 150+ rushing yards or 50+ receiving yards (+300) is also worth a look for bettors seeking plus-money upside.

AJ Barner OVER 29.5 receiving yards (-110)

Barner remains Seattle’s most reliable tight end, leading the position in snaps, routes and targets. He has been productive against the Rams this season, totaling 14 receptions for 119 yards across two meetings. With the spread pointing toward another close game,Darnold should be forced to throw, keeping Barner involved as a trusted intermediate option. With minimal target competition at the position, Barner has a stable workload and a strong path to clearing his receiving yards line.